A Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) official said on October 14 that winter may begin to set in across the country, including Dhaka, in the third week of November. Residents in the north, especially Panchagarh and Thakurgaon, have already felt cooler temperatures and fog since early October.
Key Dates to Watch
- Third week of November: Winter expected to spread across the country.
- Late December: Cold likely to intensify.
- January: Expected peak of winter.
- Mid-February: Daytime temperatures may begin to rise, though chilly conditions could continue into mid-February.
Dhaka may see temperatures as low as 11 to 13 degrees Celsius. The official said a more reliable assessment would come after a survey report becomes available.
What Is El Niño’s Effect?
Meteorologist Bazlur Rashid says El Niño has been in a strong phase since June and could influence weather across Bangladesh and the wider Indian region. In simple terms, it could bring a relatively warmer winter with shorter cold spells.
He says El Niño could lead to above-normal temperatures and lower rainfall during the season. Winter in Bangladesh is not governed by El Niño alone, so other local factors will also matter.
What Kind of Winter Is Likely?
Current assessments point to a comparatively warmer, shorter and foggier winter. Experts say calling it a “winterless” season would be an exaggeration. Several sharp cold spells could still hit the northern districts, though they may be short-lived. December to February remains the core winter period.
What Bangladesh Residents Should Do
Families in the north should prepare warm clothing and check on elderly people and children from December. Drivers should be careful in dense morning fog.
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